Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Harold Ford vs. Kirsten Gillibrand? (Is HFJ Planning a New York Senate Run?)


If you ask me (and of course no one has), I believe that young HFJ will make run in the New York Senate primary against Ms. Kirsten Gillibrand. Due to the demographics and HFJ's political beliefs, I cannot imagine him winning a statewide election in Tennessee - be it Governor or Senate. If HFJ could not do it in 2006 when the deck was stacked in his favor, I cannot see him doing it in the future in Tennessee.

New York is a much better venue for HFJ to test his political wings. HFJ seems to fit in the mold of New York politicians and he is a recent transplant like other former New York Senators Clinton and Kennedy. While I doubt New Yorkers will be happy to have a reverse "carpetbagger" in their midst, once the big time Democrat money starts flowing into HFJ's coffers, HFJ's name recognition will overcome any carpetbagger arguments.

If Kirsten Gillibrand is able to defeat HFJ (assuming he runs), then it will mark the end of HFJ's political career with three (3) losses in his last three (3) races (i.e., House Minority Leader position, TN Senate and NY Senate Primary). Therefore, HFJ will need to think long and hard before making this decision to battle Gillibrand. That is probably why someone has commissioned a telephone poll to gauge New Yorkers' interest in young Harold.

Democratic sources say that former Tennessee Rep. Harold Ford Jr. -- who relocated to New York City after his unsuccessful Senate bid in 2006 -- has been talking about the possibility of running against vulnerable rookie New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand.

Ford, who was mentioned as a possible appointee to replace Hillary Clinton in late 2007, has reportedly told associates that he's skeptical about the idea. But he may have commissioned a poll to test his popularity, according to a Tuesday night post on DemocraticUnderground.com.

"I live in NY and was just polled about a possible primary between Kirsten Gillibrand and Harold Ford Jr. for the Senate seat. I was wondering if anyone had heard if he was considering to run," wrote the poster, who identified himself as "JamesA1102."

Source: Ford vs. Gillibrand? - Glenn Thrush - POLITICO.com


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